Natalia Zuluaga

February 23, 2026

Davos Bump Rallies Undecided and NDP voters to Liberals

Since Carney’s Davos speech, leadership evaluations and federal approval were moving — but the ballot was not. That has now changed as the Liberals have moved into a clear lead. Crucially, however, this shift is being driven by gains from the NDP and undecided, not from Conservative losses.
February 20, 2026

Legault’s Resignation Fails to Deliver New Life for the CAQ

With his resignation, Francis Legault hoped to give the CAQ an opportunity to rebound with a new leader. While the future can always bring surprises, on first blush it appears Quebec voters are unlikely to give the CAQ a second chance despite their concerns over the PQ and its referendum promise.
February 5, 2026

Canadians Noticed Carney’s Davos Speech, But the Political Impact Remains Uncertain

In a fragmented communications environment, Mark Carney’s Davos speech emerged as a rare communication moment that clearly registered with Canadians. While there has been an immediate impact on perceptions of leadership and government performance, vote intentions remain largely unchanged.
January 27, 2026

While both CPC and Liberals lose approval on dealing with Trump, Carney retains significant lead over Poilievre

Since the election, both the Liberals and CPC have lost over 10-points in approval on how they are responding to Donald Trump. While we see a similar decline in the number of Canadians willing to choose either Carney or Poilievre as better on handling Canada/US relation, Carney continues to enjoy a double digit lead over Poilievre.