Public Affairs Research

May 22, 2026

Just 14% of Canadians believe Canada will get a Deal with the US and that Trump will stick with it

INNOVATIVE’s tracking shows most Canadians are skeptical Canada get a deal with the US. They don’t believe that Trump will keep to a deal. Canadians expect it will be the US’s fault if the deal fails and a majority think Carney is doing a good job.
February 23, 2026

Davos Bump Rallies Undecided and NDP voters to Liberals

Since Carney’s Davos speech, leadership evaluations and federal approval were moving — but the ballot was not. That has now changed as the Liberals have moved into a clear lead. Crucially, however, this shift is being driven by gains from the NDP and undecided, not from Conservative losses.