Public Affairs Research

March 21, 2025

Liberals take Lead on Election Eve

The Liberal Party’s remarkable recovery gained momentum this week. The Liberals have edged ahead of the CPC with a 2-point lead. The Liberals are leading from […]
March 21, 2025

Canadians see Ontario’s Electricity Surcharge as a Good Model for Future Action

Many Canadians (69%) followed the news about Ontario’s 25% electricity surtax. Two thirds (68%) feel it was a good idea, and a plurality (37% to 25%) […]
March 14, 2025

Carney and Poilievre Neck-and-Neck on Best to be Prime Minister

Following his selection as Liberal leader and Prime Minister designate, Mark Carney’s net favourables have rebounded to +11, opening a 12-point lead over Poilievre.  Those positive […]
March 11, 2025

Trudeau Ends on a High Note as Carney Stumbles

While the federal government rode the latest trump tariff showdown to a new high in approval, that good fortune did not rub off on Mark Carney. […]
March 4, 2025

Prior to the Tariffs, Canada’s Liberals continue to close the gap with the CPC

Following the Liberal leadership debate, the Liberals (31%) are within seven points of the leading Conservatives (38%) on decided vote. So far there is no sign […]
February 28, 2025

Liberal Brand Rebounding

The Liberal brand is on the mend. While Conservatives still have a 9-point lead over the Liberals in federal vote intention, the Liberals have reignited passion […]
February 25, 2025

Ford Headed to New Majority as Liberals Rebuild

With just a few days left before Ontario heads to the polls, Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives maintain their lead with 42% of the decided […]
February 20, 2025

Liberal surge holds but CPC still leads by 13%

Canadians’ initial “rally-around-the-flag” response to Trump’s threatened tariffs ebbed for the federal and most provincial governments this week. Despite that trend, the federal horse race results […]
February 18, 2025

Ford PCs Retain Lead, but the Gap Between Them and the Liberals Narrows

An 8-point increase in the Liberal campaign awareness numbers appears to be pulling centre left voters out of the PC coalition back to the Ontario Liberals. […]