Public Affairs Research

April 2, 2025

Conservatives Narrow Momentum Gap

For the second consecutive wave, the federal election race is locked in a marginal tie between the Liberals and Conservatives. Liberals continue to hold their vote […]
March 27, 2025

How Key Attitudinal Segments are Shifting Their Votes

The topline shifts in voter preferences are clear for all to see. But the threat to the CPC and NDP is more clear when we see […]
March 25, 2025

Campaign Momentum Leading into Federal Election

Why in the early days of this election is Mark Carney getting a better response from voters than Pierre Poilievre? These are the topline findings of […]
March 24, 2025

Carney Builds Lead on Best to Handle US Relations

In his second week as Prime Minister, Mark Carney has increased his lead as best equipped to handle Canada-US relations under Trump from 5-points to 12 […]
March 21, 2025

Liberals take Lead on Election Eve

The Liberal Party’s remarkable recovery gained momentum this week. The Liberals have edged ahead of the CPC with a 2-point lead. The Liberals are leading from […]
March 21, 2025

Canadians see Ontario’s Electricity Surcharge as a Good Model for Future Action

Many Canadians (69%) followed the news about Ontario’s 25% electricity surtax. Two thirds (68%) feel it was a good idea, and a plurality (37% to 25%) […]
March 14, 2025

Carney and Poilievre Neck-and-Neck on Best to be Prime Minister

Following his selection as Liberal leader and Prime Minister designate, Mark Carney’s net favourables have rebounded to +11, opening a 12-point lead over Poilievre.  Those positive […]
March 11, 2025

Trudeau Ends on a High Note as Carney Stumbles

While the federal government rode the latest trump tariff showdown to a new high in approval, that good fortune did not rub off on Mark Carney. […]
March 4, 2025

Prior to the Tariffs, Canada’s Liberals continue to close the gap with the CPC

Following the Liberal leadership debate, the Liberals (31%) are within seven points of the leading Conservatives (38%) on decided vote. So far there is no sign […]