Public Affairs Research

May 2, 2025

What Happened to the Bloc?

The Bloc was squeezed between the Liberals and the Conservatives in this election. The Liberals not only regained party loyalists they lost since 2021, they attracted […]
April 26, 2025

Liberals lead by 4-points as the campaign draws to a close

In our final pre-election survey, the Liberals lead by 4-points over the Conservatives (41% to 37%), with the NDP at 11% and Bloc 6% among Decided […]
April 25, 2025

Liberals Pushed Back on Three Fronts Prior to the Latest Trump Controversy

The Liberals are in a three-front war, and, in our tracking earlier this week, they had lost a little ground on all three fronts. The Liberal […]
April 25, 2025

Liberal Lead Narrows in Quebec

  INNOVATIVE has combined the Quebec results of the second and third April weeks of our online election tracking in Quebec to follow up on our […]
April 25, 2025

Deeper Dive Shows Some Surprising Strengths for Conservatives, Weaknesses for Liberals

Mark Carney and the Liberal campaign are playing a weaker hand than you might think, and Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative party have a stronger hand […]
April 24, 2025

BC Chinese Canadians Survey: Canada-US Relations

Chinese Canadians in BC are deeply concerned about US trade tensions, and their trust in the US has declined. As the Federal election campaign comes to […]
April 24, 2025

Conservatives make up ground, but is it too little too late?

Poilievre was the most successful in beating debate expectations and tied Carney as the winner of the debate. The bigger story may be that not only […]
April 23, 2025

Popular Vote Converges Following Debate and Advance Voting

The Liberal lead over the Conservatives fades to a marginal tie as Elections Canada reports 7.3 million ballots cast in Advance Polls. These are the topline […]
April 17, 2025

Carney and the Liberals have the lead in Quebec

However, there are some signs that the tariff momentum is ebbing for the Liberals. INNOVATIVE has combined the Quebec results of five waves of our online […]