Public Affairs Research

April 23, 2025

Popular Vote Converges Following Debate and Advance Voting

The Liberal lead over the Conservatives fades to a marginal tie as Elections Canada reports 7.3 million ballots cast in Advance Polls. These are the topline […]
April 17, 2025

Carney and the Liberals have the lead in Quebec

However, there are some signs that the tariff momentum is ebbing for the Liberals. INNOVATIVE has combined the Quebec results of five waves of our online […]
April 16, 2025

A Deeper Dive: A stable week and some consequences of the NDP’s decline.

Building on Tuesday’s topline release, these are additional findings from an online survey of 1,455 Canadian citizens sponsored and conducted by Innovative Research Group Inc. (INNOVATIVE) […]
April 15, 2025

Liberals Sustain Lead and Firm-Up Support

The Liberals maintain a 5-point lead over the Conservatives heading into the debates as Liberal voters’ intentions harden. These are the topline findings of an online […]
April 10, 2025

Key Segment Changes and Voters’ Reasoning

Liberals are breaking through with younger voters in this wave. Leadership, shared values and bandwagon effects are driving the Liberal vote. Shared values and time for […]
April 7, 2025

Trump Tariffs Boost Liberals

Once again, a Trump tariff deadline has given the Liberals a boost, this time driving into a clear 6-point lead over the Conservatives. These are the […]
April 3, 2025

Liberal Momentum Advantage Narrows

The Conservatives have narrowed the gap with the Liberals in media reach and impact, though they still trail in net favourability (-2 to +7). Both leaders […]
April 2, 2025

Conservatives Narrow Momentum Gap

For the second consecutive wave, the federal election race is locked in a marginal tie between the Liberals and Conservatives. Liberals continue to hold their vote […]
March 27, 2025

How Key Attitudinal Segments are Shifting Their Votes

The topline shifts in voter preferences are clear for all to see. But the threat to the CPC and NDP is more clear when we see […]