Public Affairs Research

May 31, 2022

PCs Maintain Steady Lead in Campaign’s Final Days

The Progressive Conservatives are maintaining a steady, 5-point lead over the Liberals. The NDP remain in third, 9 points back of the PCs. These findings come […]
May 30, 2022

Who Votes New Blue?

The presence of the New Blue Party of Ontario on the ballot does not appear to be harming the Tories’ numbers. These findings come from INNOVATIVE’s […]
May 27, 2022

Novel Seat Projection Model Shows Likely Tory Majority, Liberal Gains, and NDP “Lunch Bucket” Losses

In Canada, we count seats, not votes. Most models project seat counts based on geography, and often assume that party strength and patterns of political competition […]
May 25, 2022

PCs Remain Ahead, Liberals a Clear Second

The gap between the Liberals and the NDP has widened, but the PCs continue to lead. These findings come from INNOVATIVE’s latest online survey of 601 […]
May 24, 2022

Flashing Orange for Low-Carbon Transition

Canadian attitudes towards the energy transition have shifted in recent months, though the appetite for climate leadership remains. The findings come a recent INNOVATIVE online survey […]
May 20, 2022

Majority of Ontarians didn’t see or hear anything about leaders’ debate

It is unlikely that this week’s leaders’ debate will prove to be decisive moment in the election. Just 1-in-5 Ontarians tuned in. These findings come from […]
May 17, 2022

Liberals narrow the gap with the PCs

The Liberals have cut into the Progressive Conservatives’ lead, but are still underperforming with their base. These findings come from INNOVATIVE’s latest online survey of 818 […]
May 10, 2022

Tories Winning Race Against the Clock in Ontario Election

The PCs continue to maintain a significant lead over the Liberals while the race for second gets tighter. These findings come from INNOVATIVE’s latest online survey […]
May 6, 2022

Ontario PCs Have Strongest Brand Loyalty of the Three Major Parties, NDP Have Distinct Brand Personality

The Progressive Conservatives have the strongest brand loyalty, with the largest group of dedicated voters among Ontario’s three major parties. The Liberals have weaker brand loyalty […]