INNOVATIVE’s monthly telephone tracking poll shows the PCs remaining steady in 1st ahead of Liberals and NDP. (Click here for methodology and details).
The heat is coming out of the electricity issue in Ontario.
Ontarians say they want regulators to lead on decision-making, but at the end of the day will vent their frustrations on politicians.
The PCs have a real lead but seem to have plateaued with the support of 1-in-3 Ontarians.
The Liberals remain in the race because Ontarians hold pluralistic values. However, recently they have been losing moderate Ontarians to the NDP. This effectively strengthens the PCs prospects.
On leadership, Wynne is in a deep hole but there is no love-in for her opponents. For the Liberals, dragging Brown down may be easier than lifting Wynne up.
As a part of our ongoing monthly tracking, INNOVATIVE maintains regional, voter and issue analyses. For those interested, we offer private briefings, with additional data and depth, specially tailored to the issues that matter to you. To learn more about our INNOVATIVE Insider Briefings, click here.
This presentation combines the results of three different surveys:
Detailed methodologies are provided in the appendix.
It is important to note that margins of error can only be applied to the telephone survey.
The online surveys ARE representative samples. We have set targets to ensure we properly reflect key regional and demographic distribution and then used weights to ensure we reflect the country properly. However, since the online survey was not a random probability-based sample, a margin of error cannot be calculated. The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association prohibits statements about margins of sampling error or population estimates with regard to most online panels.
The margin of error for the telephone survey is approximately +4.0 (before April 2003: approximately +3.84)