New Brunswick Politics
Almost 3 in 4 New Brunswickers approve of the provincial government’s response to COVID-19. Overall government approval is now equally high. People like what they are seeing from Blaine Higgs with 45% feeling better about him in response to his management of COVID-19 and only 4% feeling worse. As a result, Higg’s 50% favourable rating towers over his opponent. Despite the strong government approval and leadership numbers for the PCs, the political race is tight with the Liberals enjoying a 4-point lead in decided vote. This is due to the provincial Liberals significant lead in party identification. The impact of the regional distribution of votes makes it hard to assess how politics will unfold in New Brunswick but, so far, Higg’s response to COVID-19 is helping, not hurting.
For detailed results on New Brunswick, download our report here.
Nova Scotia Politics
The Nova Scotia government enjoys 66% approval on its management of COVID-19 and 72% approval overall. Nova Scotians are giving Stephen McNeil a strong personal vote of approval. Over half (57%) have a better impression of the Premier due to his management of COVID-19. His favourables are over 50% (53%) and his best Premier score of 40% is well above any rivals. This translates into almost half (49%) voting Liberal if the election was today. With a strong Liberal lead in party ID and very little desire for change, the Liberals are well positioned to sustain their lead even after the initial “rally ‘round the flag” sentiment declines.
For detailed results on Nova Scotia, download our report here.
Strong majorities approve of the way the Manitoba government is responding to COVID-19 (59%) and the overall performance of the government (62%). A third have a better impression of Brian Pallister as a result of his response to COVID-19. He has more favourables (43%) than his challengers and more people chose him as best Premier (37%) than the other leaders combined. The PCs have a significant lead in vote with 37% support. The Liberals (28%) have a 5-point lead over the NDP (23%). Compared to other provinces there is fair amount of time for a change sentiment (51%) in Manitoba, but the Tory edge in party identification and the opposition split leaves the PCs well-positioned going forward.
For detailed results on Manitoba, download our report here.
Saskatchewan residents strongly approve (64%) of the way their government is handling COVID-19 and that is spilling over into overall government approval (62%). More people say their impression of Scott Moe is better (40%) rather than worse (16%). He maintains strong favourables (48%) and currently dominates (40%) as best to be Premier. The Saskatchewan party enjoys a 12-point lead on decided vote supported by a 10-point lead in decided vote.
For detailed results on Saskatchewan, download our report here.