Pollsters’ corner Despite a difficult first week for the Conservatives, post polls showed little impact on their public support. why is that? Is there a lag in voter reaction, or did the Tories just manage to escape the week unscathed?
The fundamentals for the Tories remain unchanged despite the gaffe-watch coverage. Stephen Harper continues to be seen as Canada’s strongest, most capable leader. Not only is time-for-a-change sentiment low, there are enough people afraid of change to deliver a Tory majority. Finally, none of the tactical errors in the campaign changed the strategic reality that the economy is a major issue in this campaign, if not the major issue, and the Tories enjoy a strong lead on the issue. The one tactical development that may matter is including Elizabeth May in the debate. This will raise her visibility with voters and creates an opportunity to capture the public imagination and likely help the Tories by splitting the centre-left vote.