Infographic: Federal Election 2019 Key Battlegrounds – 2015 vs. Now

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Regional Analysis Methodology

Respondents were grouped together into their Federal electoral districts based on the first three digits of their postal code. The electoral districts were then grouped geographically into subregions within the larger divisions of the country. A weighted total of 53 respondents could not be grouped into a federal electoral district because the first three digits of their postal code matched multiple districts.

This section shows the results of the most important subregions (i.e. those with the most seats that were won by a narrow margin in the last election) now compared to the last election. It also highlights how many of the seats in those regions were won by each party and, within that, how many of each party’s seats were won by a margin of less than 10 points.

Because of the small sample in each subregion, the results of the last three Canada This Month surveys have been pooled together.

The table beside here shows the complete list of regions and the sample size of decided voters in each region.  The total weighted n-size of decided voters matched to electoral districts is 3,101.