What do the Phones Say?

A new Innovative Research Group (INNOVATIVE) telephone survey shows the NDP leading in the Ontario election with 37% of the decided vote followed closely by the PC party at 34%.  The governing Liberals trail with 21%. The live-caller landline and cell phone survey was conducted from May 23rd to May 29th among a random sample Read more about What do the Phones Say?[…]

Election Tracking Wave 4: The NDP Move Ahead

The NDP has moved ahead of the PCs for the first time in Innovative Research Group Inc.’s (INNOVATIVE) 2018 Ontario election tracking.  More significantly, the NDP is showing a much firmer base than earlier in the campaign4, now rivaling the PC base of support. Today INNOVATIVE released the results of a post-debate online poll conducted Read more about Election Tracking Wave 4: The NDP Move Ahead[…]

Weekend Poll Shows PCs Still Ahead but the Underlying Numbers are Moving Against the PCs and for the NDP

An online survey of 1,074 adult Ontarians conducted from May 18th to May 23rd, 2018 shows the PCs with 36% of the vote, the NDP at 31% and the Liberals at 26%. Statistically, this is virtually the same as our previous wave of tracking conducted a week earlier with the PCs and NDP marginally higher Read more about Weekend Poll Shows PCs Still Ahead but the Underlying Numbers are Moving Against the PCs and for the NDP[…]

Winds of Public Debate Driving NDP Momentum

In a second independent online survey within a week, Innovative Research Group (INNOVATIVE) continues the see momentum building for the NDP and the PC lead narrowing. PC support is marginally down from earlier in the week but there are no signs of growing weakness. Current PC voters are the least likely to have a second Read more about Winds of Public Debate Driving NDP Momentum[…]

Ontario Politics In-depth: Values and Attitudes

INNOVATIVE Releases Additional Analysis from May 7 to May 11 Online Poll   (May 15, 2018 – Toronto) The NDP is growing among the centre-left value groups the Kathleen Wynne Liberals have relied upon and among economically alienated voters that initially supported the Doug Ford PCs. Today Innovative Research Group Inc. (INNOVATIVE) released further analysis Read more about Ontario Politics In-depth: Values and Attitudes[…]

Roads to Victory: The Ontario Political Landscape

(May 15, 2018 – Toronto) Overview New Online Survey Shows Ontario PCs remain in a strong lead as NDP pick up momentum. A new Innovative Research Group (INNOVATIVE) online poll shows the PC party leading with 38% of the decided vote with the Liberals and NDP tied for second at 28%.  When we map out Read more about Roads to Victory: The Ontario Political Landscape[…]

Ontario Politics Backgrounder: Talking Horse-race numbers

Who is winning in Ontario and by how much? Pollsters generally have three ways of answering that question: RRD telephone surveys calling a mix of landline and cell phones using live callers. RRD telephone surveys calling a mix of landline and cell phones using interactive voice response calling (IVR). Online surveys that use representative samples Read more about Ontario Politics Backgrounder: Talking Horse-race numbers[…]

Ontario Politics on the Eve of the Election

 Why this Time is Different in Ontario April 16 – 2018: Recent polls show Ontario’s political parties face a starkly different reality in 2018 compared to 2014 with Doug Ford’s PC Party firmly in the driver’s seat. Today Innovative Research Group Inc. (INNOVATIVE) released a summary of key findings on Ontario politics. The results come Read more about Ontario Politics on the Eve of the Election[…]

The Conservative Dilemma: Moral Victories or Political Victories?

THE CONSERVATIVE DILEMMA: Moral Victories or Political Victories? This weekend is the annual Manning Networking Conference. Conservatives from across Canada gather in Ottawa to talk about the issues, opportunities, and challenges facing the conservative movement. One of the biggest questions is, what will it take for a conservative party to form the federal government once Read more about The Conservative Dilemma: Moral Victories or Political Victories?[…]

The Impact of the Patrick Brown Resignation

The resignation of Patrick Brown under the cloud of alleged sexual misconduct rocked Ontario politics to its foundations last week. Or did it? INNOVATIVE conducted a series of surveys, starting with a live caller RDD survey of Ontarians, using a mix of landlines and cell numbers earlier in January.  Phone surveys have the advantage that Read more about The Impact of the Patrick Brown Resignation[…]