What do the Phones Say?

A new Innovative Research Group (INNOVATIVE) telephone survey shows the NDP leading in the Ontario election with 37% of the decided vote followed closely by the PC party at 34%.  The governing Liberals trail with 21%. The live-caller landline and cell phone survey was conducted from May 23rd to May 29th among a random sample Read more about What do the Phones Say?[…]

Election Tracking Wave 4: The NDP Move Ahead

The NDP has moved ahead of the PCs for the first time in Innovative Research Group Inc.’s (INNOVATIVE) 2018 Ontario election tracking.  More significantly, the NDP is showing a much firmer base than earlier in the campaign4, now rivaling the PC base of support. Today INNOVATIVE released the results of a post-debate online poll conducted Read more about Election Tracking Wave 4: The NDP Move Ahead[…]

Backgrounder: Talking Federal Horserace Numbers

Today, Innovative Research Group Inc.(INNOVATIVE) is releasing the federal political results from both an online and a telephone poll conducted a month ago. As we become more reliant on online polls which cannot randomly select among voters, it becomes more and more important to understand how and when online and telephone polls can vary. INNOVATIVE recently Read more about Backgrounder: Talking Federal Horserace Numbers[…]

Weekend Poll Shows PCs Still Ahead but the Underlying Numbers are Moving Against the PCs and for the NDP

An online survey of 1,074 adult Ontarians conducted from May 18th to May 23rd, 2018 shows the PCs with 36% of the vote, the NDP at 31% and the Liberals at 26%. Statistically, this is virtually the same as our previous wave of tracking conducted a week earlier with the PCs and NDP marginally higher Read more about Weekend Poll Shows PCs Still Ahead but the Underlying Numbers are Moving Against the PCs and for the NDP[…]

Federal Liberals Alienating Both Sides in Kinder Morgan Fight

A new online survey of 2,327 Canadians shows the federal Liberals are digging a political hole on this issue.  The survey included oversamples in both BC (n=424) and Alberta (n=334), the key battlegrounds in this debate. The report includes: General orientations towards oil and gas projects, Reaction to the initial federal approval, Views on the Read more about Federal Liberals Alienating Both Sides in Kinder Morgan Fight[…]

Winds of Public Debate Driving NDP Momentum

In a second independent online survey within a week, Innovative Research Group (INNOVATIVE) continues the see momentum building for the NDP and the PC lead narrowing. PC support is marginally down from earlier in the week but there are no signs of growing weakness. Current PC voters are the least likely to have a second Read more about Winds of Public Debate Driving NDP Momentum[…]

Ontario Politics In-depth: Values and Attitudes

INNOVATIVE Releases Additional Analysis from May 7 to May 11 Online Poll   (May 15, 2018 – Toronto) The NDP is growing among the centre-left value groups the Kathleen Wynne Liberals have relied upon and among economically alienated voters that initially supported the Doug Ford PCs. Today Innovative Research Group Inc. (INNOVATIVE) released further analysis Read more about Ontario Politics In-depth: Values and Attitudes[…]

Roads to Victory: The Ontario Political Landscape

(May 15, 2018 – Toronto) Overview New Online Survey Shows Ontario PCs remain in a strong lead as NDP pick up momentum. A new Innovative Research Group (INNOVATIVE) online poll shows the PC party leading with 38% of the decided vote with the Liberals and NDP tied for second at 28%.  When we map out Read more about Roads to Victory: The Ontario Political Landscape[…]

Ontario Politics Backgrounder: Talking Horse-race numbers

Who is winning in Ontario and by how much? Pollsters generally have three ways of answering that question: RRD telephone surveys calling a mix of landline and cell phones using live callers. RRD telephone surveys calling a mix of landline and cell phones using interactive voice response calling (IVR). Online surveys that use representative samples Read more about Ontario Politics Backgrounder: Talking Horse-race numbers[…]