2019 Federal Election | English Leaders Debate | 2019-10-09

An online survey of 1,726 adult Canadians was conducted between October 8th and 9th for Maclean’s. The following report shows whether people have read, seen or heard anything about each leader (and party) and whether it has left them more or less favourable. These two measures are key indicators of momentum. There are a number of Read more about 2019 Federal Election | English Leaders Debate | 2019-10-09[…]

2019 Federal Election | Ad Testing Tracking | 2019-10-08

An online survey of 2,835 adult Canadians was conducted between October 3rd to 7th, 2019 At the national level, the vote has been pretty flat since the start of September. So far, there have only been one or two-point movements for any party. The Liberals continue to lead the Conservatives, but the Liberal vote tends Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Ad Testing Tracking | 2019-10-08[…]

2019 Federal Election | Updated Seat Clusters | 2019-10-7

In Canada, we count seats, not votes.  Just like in American Presidential elections, you can win the popular vote and lose the election.  In fact, that happened to Justin Trudeau’s father in 1979. The general way analysts address that is to look at seats by region.  However, seats in the same region can move differently.  Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Updated Seat Clusters | 2019-10-7[…]

2019 Federal Election | Post-Debate Polling

Will the Debates Matter? Despite the dramatic events of this campaign, there has been relatively little movement in the key battlegrounds. The Conservatives will likely win more rural Atlantic and suburban Vancouver and Toronto seats, but those wins are not enough to pull ahead of the Liberals.  In addition to holding on to most of Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Post-Debate Polling[…]

2019 Federal Election | Prime Minister Tracking

An online survey of 1,622 adult Canadians was conducted from September 10th to 15th. Even though ‘most likely’ voters at least lean to one party at this point, only 42% say they have heard all they need to make up their minds. Our tracking shows that the gap between Trudeau and Scheer as best Prime Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Prime Minister Tracking[…]

2019 Federal Election | September Baseline | Political Landscape

An online survey of 1,622 adult Canadians conducted from September 10th to 15th, 2019 shows a tight race between the Liberals and Conservatives. The horserace results show a tight race between the Liberals and Conservatives, with the Liberals leading 35% to 32% among decided voters. Close national numbers hide wide regional gaps. In Ontario and Read more about 2019 Federal Election | September Baseline | Political Landscape[…]

2019 Federal Election | Seat Clusters

In Canada, we count seats, not vote.  Just like in American Presidential elections, you can win the popular vote and lose the election.  In fact, that happened to Justin Trudeau’s father in 1979. The general way analysts address that is to look at seats by region.  However, seats in the same region can move differently.  Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Seat Clusters[…]