2019 Federal Election | Political Landscape Tracking & Seat Clusters | 2019-10-18

Two online surveys of adult Canadians were conducted between October 15th and 17th. After a tumultuous, negative and generally unsatisfying election, the two main parties are limping to a photo-finish. Although it is too close to make a big bet or take odds, all evidence we see points to a Liberal victory on Monday night. Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Political Landscape Tracking & Seat Clusters | 2019-10-18[…]

2019 Federal Election | Where Next? | 2019-10-15

An online survey of 2,394 adult Canadians was conducted between October 8th and 10th. Where does the election go now? It has been an eventful campaign so far, but the question now is where will this all take us? Both Jagmeet Singh and Yves-François Blanchet have made big personal breakthroughs. Singh, in particular, is building Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Where Next? | 2019-10-15[…]

2019 Federal Election | Climate Change | 2019-10-11

An online survey of 1,726 adult Canadians was conducted between October 8th and 9th. The following report reflects the partial results of the survey to focus on topics of climate change. Some have called dubbed the 2019 Canadian federal election ‘the climate change election’ and there is no doubt this is a hot button issue. A Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Climate Change | 2019-10-11[…]

2019 Federal Election | Political Landscape Tracking | 2019-10-10

An online survey of 2,394 adult Canadians was conducted between October 8th and 10th for Maclean’s. The Horserace: While the overall national horserace numbers look pretty stable, there are some important underlying dynamics that are shifting. Both the NDP and the Bloc’s numbers are moving, but the Bloc movement has bigger implications for the outcome Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Political Landscape Tracking | 2019-10-10[…]

2019 Federal Election | Leadership Tracking | 2019-10-10

An online survey of 1,726 adult Canadians was conducted between October 8th and 9th for Maclean’s. Our most recent release identified Jagmeet Singh as the winner of the English language debate. Jagmeet Singh and Yves-François Blanchet are doing much better than expected compared to the main parties in this election. As a result, there are dramatic Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Leadership Tracking | 2019-10-10[…]

2019 Federal Election | English Leaders Debate | 2019-10-09

An online survey of 1,726 adult Canadians was conducted between October 8th and 9th for Maclean’s. The following report shows whether people have read, seen or heard anything about each leader (and party) and whether it has left them more or less favourable. These two measures are key indicators of momentum. There are a number of Read more about 2019 Federal Election | English Leaders Debate | 2019-10-09[…]

2019 Federal Election | Ad Testing Tracking | 2019-10-08

An online survey of 2,835 adult Canadians was conducted between October 3rd to 7th, 2019 At the national level, the vote has been pretty flat since the start of September. So far, there have only been one or two-point movements for any party. The Liberals continue to lead the Conservatives, but the Liberal vote tends Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Ad Testing Tracking | 2019-10-08[…]

2019 Federal Election | Updated Seat Clusters | 2019-10-7

In Canada, we count seats, not votes.  Just like in American Presidential elections, you can win the popular vote and lose the election.  In fact, that happened to Justin Trudeau’s father in 1979. The general way analysts address that is to look at seats by region.  However, seats in the same region can move differently.  Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Updated Seat Clusters | 2019-10-7[…]

2019 Federal Election | Post-Debate Polling

Will the Debates Matter? Despite the dramatic events of this campaign, there has been relatively little movement in the key battlegrounds. The Conservatives will likely win more rural Atlantic and suburban Vancouver and Toronto seats, but those wins are not enough to pull ahead of the Liberals.  In addition to holding on to most of Read more about 2019 Federal Election | Post-Debate Polling[…]