PC’s maintain slight lead over Liberals in Ontario

INNOVATIVE’s monthly telephone tracking poll shows the PCs maintaining a slight lead over the Ontario Liberals, within the margin of error. The NDP remain stalled at 14% of voters.  (Click here for methodology and details). As a part of our ongoing monthly tracking, INNOVATIVE maintains regional, voter and issue analyses. For those interested, we offer private Read more about PC’s maintain slight lead over Liberals in Ontario[…]

Leakage? The impact of recent pipeline decisions on Federal Liberal support

On November 29th, the Justin Trudeau Liberal government approved the Kinder Morgan and Line 3 pipelines and did not approve of the Northern Gateway pipeline, effectively cancelling that pipeline.  Pipelines have been high on the political agenda in Canada and as a centrist party the Liberals have supporters who both favour and oppose pipelines.  What Read more about Leakage? The impact of recent pipeline decisions on Federal Liberal support[…]

BC Poll Commentary

Innovative Research Group Inc. On May 9th, 2017, BC’s political parties have a date with destiny. As that date approaches over the next 9 months, INNOVATIVE will conduct a series of polls to understand where the parties stand and what matters to key voters. 160819_BCTM1608_BC_Poll_Commentary.pdf 160819_BCTM1608_Release_Deck.pdf 160819_BCTM1608_Political_Table.pdf 160818_TheGlobeandMail_ AffordablehousingkeyissueforBC.pdf

Will Canadians Pay for their Good Intentions

Policy Magazine At both the federal and provincial levels in Canada, environmental policy is going through a major shift. The Trudeau government has already begun a radical 180 degree turn from the Harper government’s approach to environmental policy, beginning with climate change. In Alberta, the Notley government introduced a carbon tax in its April 14 Read more about Will Canadians Pay for their Good Intentions[…]

Budget Adds to Immediate NDP Woes but Potential for Rebound Remains

The Hill Times The first Liberal federal budget has twisted the Trudeau knife further in the wounded New Democratic Party. The first budget of the new government is a big hit with elite centre left voters, a moderate success with populist or struggling groups, and leaves conservative groups infuriated. As a result, the Liberals are Read more about Budget Adds to Immediate NDP Woes but Potential for Rebound Remains[…]

Social Permission in a Time of Outrage

Greg Lyle presented his findings and advice on navigating social permission in a time of outrage to the Ontario Energy Network. Among the points he made are: You need support to build things people don’t like and pay more for something we take for granted. As publicly regulated utilities, energy companies require social permission to Read more about Social Permission in a Time of Outrage[…]

Fords drove voters away from Conservatives more than Duffy: Poll

Toronto Metro The Ford brothers’ cameo in Stephen Harper’s election campaign drove potential voters away from the Conservative Party more than the Duffy trial did, exit polling has found. “It was clearly a mistake to be seen with the Fords,” pollster Greg Lyle told Metro on Tuesday. “It didn’t really rally the base, it pushed Read more about Fords drove voters away from Conservatives more than Duffy: Poll[…]

Harper’s image ‘set in stone’ despite Tories’ best efforts to soften it

The Globe and Mail After ten years of Conservative government, Innovative Research managing director Greg Lyle said, “Mr. Harper’s image appears to be set in stone – nothing the Conservatives try moves it.” Meanwhile, “Mr. Trudeau’s image is still in flux,” as voters continue to take stock of the relatively young and inexperienced leader offering Read more about Harper’s image ‘set in stone’ despite Tories’ best efforts to soften it[…]

How Breaking the 2011 Vote Pattern Bends 2015 Seat Models

Innovative Research Group An increasing trend in Canadian election news coverage is to focus less on individual polls and more on seat projection models that combine survey responses. Because we count seats, not votes, to determine who wins the election, this new feature of media coverage makes sense and will be particularly valuable in future Read more about How Breaking the 2011 Vote Pattern Bends 2015 Seat Models[…]

Yes Virginia, there is a strategic voter

Innovative Research Group There has been much discussion in this campaign about whether or not there is such a thing as strategic voting. It is really not a debatable point. Strategic voting is a well-documented feature of election campaigns. One of the international experts in this phenomena is Canada’s own André Blais of the L’Université Read more about Yes Virginia, there is a strategic voter[…]